Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2759.054247 2984.484188 3212.956525 3461.535509 3724.048989 3992.721275 4288.162377
2025-01-05 2395.107816 2730.902969 3084.086445 3482.034080 3916.710636 4375.885641 4896.384129
2025-01-12 2150.749417 2551.430235 2984.639652 3485.339074 4045.555638 4650.569282 5350.820628
2025-01-19 1897.739449 2333.182836 2815.707172 3385.996460 4037.448347 4754.332763 5598.683385
2025-01-26 1814.294581 2295.536268 2839.365660 3493.472733 4252.767631 5100.415482 6112.053743
2025-02-02 1724.272537 2240.866852 2835.344769 3561.929245 4417.701489 5385.422159 6553.980738
2025-02-09 1608.908509 2147.211666 2777.844324 3560.736678 4495.815731 5566.267468 6873.283992
2025-02-16 1494.147020 2046.589384 2705.134818 3535.032728 4539.534937 5702.838324 7138.031961
2025-02-23 1423.757547 1995.995294 2688.739756 3573.305024 4656.440636 5923.386296 7500.389907
2025-03-02 1339.951213 1923.429995 2640.885501 3569.161108 4718.953038 6077.150330 7782.496738
2025-03-09 1289.251391 1890.125444 2639.270283 3619.848454 4846.655570 6308.216032 8157.129273
2025-03-16 1207.293135 1811.645347 2576.648728 3590.672210 4873.095461 6414.897615 8380.912970
2025-03-23 1172.578135 1795.157170 2593.534323 3663.157756 5028.248732 6681.992158 8804.763627
2025-03-30 1118.751803 1750.306370 2571.597348 3684.536071 5118.656573 6870.028857 9133.781579
2025-04-06 1061.856156 1698.243447 2537.569373 3687.982049 5184.626934 7026.879127 9424.372929
2025-04-13 968.204854 1590.317165 2424.866824 3584.386129 5110.033349 7005.536228 9492.044840
2025-04-20 960.524729 1603.654962 2475.356146 3696.462516 5314.061454 7334.970569 9998.521551
2025-04-27 938.888297 1595.605210 2495.733210 3767.829521 5465.229725 7598.385270 10423.987077
2025-05-04 893.462885 1550.645541 2463.352068 3766.586379 5520.232100 7739.151268 10695.342136
2025-05-11 842.353380 1494.827977 2413.643582 3739.791253 5539.910750 7833.707964 10907.790478
2025-05-18 815.826941 1474.696908 2413.180305 3779.687513 5647.797555 8041.810418 11265.527852
2025-05-25 776.996361 1433.949046 2381.743946 3775.367987 5695.535400 8171.695353 11523.479478
2025-06-01 757.596830 1422.371771 2391.607371 3828.199683 5820.224952 8402.088863 11911.705401